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Sunday, November 3, 2013

stable in the near term... (pm.03.nov.13)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 50.4F (10.2C)
High temp: 58.6F (14.8C)
Rainfall: none

We have generally fair skies just after sunset this evening, though it is still hazy.  There was an attempt at some cloud build-up over the mountains during the mid-day, but apparently the atmosphere was stable enough today to keep that development from getting out of hand.  So -- this Diwali has been one of the sunnier days of the season.  However, temperatures today averaged out as the coolest of this autumn season, and for the first time, the high temp at my location didn't make it to 60F (15.6C), despite all the sunshine.  Humidity held in the 40-50% range for most of the day.

The upper levels of the atmosphere are right on the verge of some significant warming, which will last through most of Tuesday.  This should provide us with a stable atmosphere, as temperatures in the low levels actually warm up at a slower pace than what will be happening aloft.  Even though there's very little moisture available, we might actually have to watch out for thickening haze and/or even some areas of fog, as cooler air at the surface gets trapped below that warming in the upper levels.  Otherwise things look pretty good for tomorrow and most of Tuesday.

The main feature in the weather story for the coming week centers on a large and deep area of low pressure which is still forecast to develop in the upper-atmosphere over the western Himalayas by Tuesday night into Wednesday.  If this system truly materializes, it could provide us with a good portion of our average rainfall for the entire month of November (0.7"/1.7cm) during the latter half of this week.  Temperatures will also likely end up well below normal for the season, with significant snowfall across the mountains of Himachal.  Check back for updates as we get closer...

Keep track of CURRENT FORECAST details on the tab above.