Friday, November 1, 2013

november dawns... (am.01.nov.13)>

*Update @ 7:54am... Leftover clouds (and a few sprinkles here at my location) fizzled out rapidly as the sun came up, and now it is mostly clear.

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It is partly to mostly cloudy at sunrise on this first morning of November, with a couple of showers around the area.  We had thunder, very gusty winds, and some brief light showers very early this morning -- roughly between about 2:30 and 4:00am -- but my rain gauge is showing just 0.03" (1mm) overnight.  The low temp dipped to 49.6F (9.8C) at some point, which is the same as yesterday morning's low, but it has bounced back to 53F (11.7C) at the moment.  Humidity is rather low, at 48%.

Minor upper-level disturbances continue to glide across Himalayan north India on a fast-flowing jet stream pattern.  Things have gone pretty much according to plan so far -- there are rather strong dynamics associated with this series of disturbances/circulations, but very little moisture available.  That's why we haven't been able to come up with more than widely scattered light precipitation so far.  There's still a chance of something a little more significant developing today, but then I think this whole system will weaken and shift eastward by late tonight into early Saturday.  As that happens, we should see a further drop in temperatures, which will take us below normal for the beginning of November.

It's still looking very nice for most of the weekend into early next week as a weak ridge of high pressure aloft moves in over the top of a dry and stable air mass at the surface.  That should provide us with plenty of sunshine, with temps struggling back to the average for the season by Monday.  Then, there's a new disturbance on the horizon for the middle of next week that we'll have to start tracking...

Check the CURRENT FORECAST details on the tab at the top of the page.