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Wednesday, November 20, 2013

no major shake-ups... (am.20.nov.13)>

It is absolutely clear at dawn this morning.  My temperature here in the upper part of town is hovering around 52F (11C), and humidity is very low -- at 25%.

According to the record books, November balances out as the driest and sunniest month of the year on average, and things have certainly been falling in line with that during the past 10 days or so.  Yesterday we had a few hours of patchy high cloudiness draped across Himachal, otherwise sunshine has been the dominant force for most of this mid-month period.  

The upper-level disturbance and associated pool of colder air aloft that we've been talking about and watching for several days will swing across Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal later today and Thursday.  However, this feature looks very lackluster, and may do nothing more than deliver some random clouds and a brief brush with slightly cooler temperatures.  By Friday, the thermometer should start to tick upward again, keeping us a bit warmer than normal into the coming weekend.

There will be another ripple in the upper-air pattern moving across Pakistan and northwest India during the latter half of the weekend, with a mildly unstable pattern looking possible for a large part of next week.  Still, there is nothing resembling a significant storm system in sight, so this generally pleasant late autumn weather should stay with us for the most part.

Check the CURRENT FORECAST tab above for specifics.