the latest...

TOTAL RAINFALL yesterday afternoon/evening = 0.41" (1.0cm)

Monday, November 4, 2013

an agreeable monday... (am.04.nov.13)>

Apart from a few patches of high cirrus clouds, we have clear skies just before sunrise on this Monday morning.  It's been a calm and quiet night -- after the Diwali fireworks bananza finally settled down -- with no rainfall.  I've recorded an overnight low temp of 50.5F (10.3C) which occurred right around 6:30am, and humidity has been hovering around 40-45%.

The atmosphere is in a state of flux again -- as it usually is -- with much warmer air now appearing in the upper levels, as a ridge of high pressure builds in.  There should be some warming in the lower levels during the next 24-36 hours as well, but the warming aloft should be more pronounced, which should provide us with a stable situation today and most of Tuesday.  That means we should see a good amount of sunshine, apart from some mainly high clouds floating in from the west on strong jet stream winds.

An unusually strong November storm system still looks likely for Himalayan north India for the latter half of the week.  A very dynamic upper-level low pressure circulation will be centered in northern Pakistan by Wednesday, but then is expected to be very slow to weaken and move out.  This should put us under the gun for increasing chances of rain and possibly a thunderstorm or two, along with gusty winds at times and falling temperatures.  RIght now it appears that the best rain potential will be on Wednesday and Thursday, but it looks like scattered showers could linger into the weekend as well.  It's going to be a dangerous wintry scenario in the higher elevations of Himachal.

CURRENT FORECAST details and other information can be found on tabs above.