Sunday, November 17, 2013

cracking 60f... (pm.17.nov.13)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 52.3F (11.3C)
High temp: 61.2F (16.2C)
Rainfall: none

The sun is setting on yet another gorgeous November day -- and one that has featured the warmest temperatures in just over two weeks.  Other than a couple of fragments of cumulus clouds trying to develop over the mountain peaks during the mid-afternoon, we had sunny, blue skies all day.  Humidity was once again in the 30-40% range.

The mid- and upper-levels of the atmosphere continue to warm up steadily, and we're finally feeling the effects of that here at our elevation, with both high and low temps UP a couple of degrees during the past 24 hours.  There's a bit of an inversion developing, however, which means that cooler air is now trapped in the lower elevations below us, as warming occurs higher up.  This kind of scenario is what delivers the miserable winter fog to the plains of north India by late December and January -- but right now the air mass is too dry for that to become a problem.  At any rate, it looks like our warming trend is not finished yet, as we could rise another couple of degrees (F) tomorrow into Tuesday.

A very progressive and potentially changeable pattern is showing up on the computer model data for the middle part of the week into the weekend.  It mostly centers around a fresh pool of cold air aloft which will be dropping southeastward by Wednesday, but which may not make it far enough south to have much of an effect on us.  That means temps may remain on the plus side of normal/average for much of the coming week.  The second feature to watch is a bit further away -- in the form of a potential storm system arriving exactly a week from now.  Lots of time to watch how that comes together.

CURRENT FORECAST details are available on the tab above.