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Friday, October 8, 2010

friday morning (8oct)>

clear skies... 14C/57F before sunrise this morning.  this is the 14th clear morning in a row...  but we've had 1.25" (3.2cm) of rain in the past week, thanks to the nearly daily dose of afternoon thundershowers.

this morning's computer model guidance continues to decrease rain potential to near zero... but as i've been mentioning the last couple of days, i am not buying it until i see evidence of it!  this afternoon thundershower action we've been getting has been due to a pool of cold air aloft, combined with upper-level winds that are blowing directly from the north.  that causes all of the convection to slide right off the dhauladars into mcleod ganj.  according to the satellite pics, we've been practically the ONLY beneficiaries of rainfall in all of northern india... aside from the few lucky folks caught beneath one or two other scattered showers along the front ranges of the mountains.

i'm going to include a moderate chance of thundershowers in the forecast for this afternoon, and then be optimistic and say only a slight chance as we head into the weekend.  then, we should get rid of them altogether thereafter.  otherwise, expect the beautiful morning sun to continue unabated... along with comfortably mild fall temps...

FRIDAY: lots of sun this morning.  clouds will build up by mid-day, with a good chance of an afternoon thundershower.
high: 21C (70F)

FRIDAY NIGHT: any early evening showers ending... followed by mostly clear skies.
low: 14C (57F)

SATURDAY: sunny in the morning.  partly to mostly cloudy in the PM with a slight chance of a thundershower.
high: 21C (70F)

SUNDAY: morning sun, with partly cloudy skies in the afternoon.
high: 21C (69F)

MONDAY: sunny to partly cloudy skies.
high: 21C (69F)

TUESDAY: mostly sunny and pleasantly mild.
high: 20C (68F)