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Wednesday, June 22, 2016

the first day... (pm.22.jun.16)>

Wednesday's stats:

Low temp: 62.1F (16.7C)
High temp: 72.3F (22.4C)
Rainfall: 0.75" (1.9cm)

What a gorgeous evening.  It's hard to connect that with the fact that we are about 24 hours into the official monsoon season.  Tonight there are some patches of mid- and high clouds around, but the air is so clean and clear, with visibility better than we've seen in at least the last several days.  Of course it was a totally different story earlier today, with lots of clouds and fog dominating most of the morning into the mid-afternoon hours, and an extended period of rain and thunder between about 12:30 and 3:00pm.  Although it rained for a long time, it really wasn't all that heavy, with the day's total reaching exactly three-quarters of an inch.  Humidity has been extremely variable today -- from 60 to 96%.

Well, we've received our official monsoon declaration, but honestly, we are still only on the fringes of the deepest tropical moisture gathering across the Indian subcontinent.  In fact, most of the model data today is showing some slightly drier air working into the western Himalayan region during the next two to three days.  As we've seen many times before, what the models say doesn't always have very much to do with reality when we've got the micro-scale mountain issues going on.  By the end of June it is hard to string together even a couple of totally dry days in a row, so let's see.

The next major surge of juicy tropical air shows up on the charts starting on Sunday, lasting into at least the middle of next week.  Unless something truly bizarre happens, we should finish off June with a rainfall total well above the normal/average of 8.0" (20.3cm).

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