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Wednesday, October 19, 2016

a dry regime... (pm.19.oct.16)>

Wednesday's stats:

Low temp: 57.4F (14.1C)
High temp: 69.6F (20.9C)
Rainfall: none

This morning's low temp equalled the coolest of the month, while the afternoon high was one of the coolest I've recorded this autumn season.  We're still running a couple of degrees above the norm, but the trend has been generally, though slowly, downward the last few days.  This evening there are quite a few clouds lingering along the front slopes of the mountains, but it is fair and hazy to the south and southwest -- after yet another day of bright morning sunshine yielding to partly cloudy skies by the afternoon.

It's the dry season in Himachal Pradesh, and the ground truth attests to that.  We've now had eight days in a row without a drop of rain, and it's looking like there may be plenty more rainless days to come.  We've been talking about the potential for at least a random shower on Friday, but recent model runs have been almost wiping out that potential, due to very little moisture availability, and the majority of the upper-level dynamic energy remaining to our north.  Still, the west-northwesterly flow aloft will continue to strengthen during the coming several days, with cooler and cooler air arriving in the higher levels of the atmosphere -- which could create some isolated pockets of instability tomorrow through Friday.  At least it's something to watch during otherwise boring weather times.

I don't think we'll see a dramatic plunge in temperatures during the coming week, but our daily average temps should continue to trend lower, by fractions of degrees, as the days get shorter and central Asian air slowly progresses southward.

Details can be found on THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK tab above, with other info and stats available on other tabs as well.