the latest...

**Our six-day rainfall total, since last Saturday, is 10.55" (26.8cm). That's one heck of a big amount of rain for so early in our evolving monsoon season...

Sunday, November 22, 2015

a changing pattern... (pm.22.nov.15)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 53.4F (11.9C)
High temp: 62.6F (17.0C)
Rainfall: none

It's partly cloudy as darkness settles in this evening, after a fairly rapid increase in high clouds during the last couple of hours.  Up until then, it was another day of abundant sunshine and bright blue skies.  I recorded one of the lowest humidity readings of the season during the mid-morning -- 22% -- but we've crept up to around 50% this evening.  Temperatures were absolutely fantastic for this time of year.

The big dome of high pressure aloft which has been sitting on top of us for the last several days is starting to break down a bit, so the inversion in place since the middle of last week will be breaking down as well.  Upper-level energy is beginning to spin into northern India from the west, and will create a less stable situation for us as this new week unfolds.  If there was a decent amount of moisture available, we would be talking about a week filled with off-and-on showers and thunderstorms... but that's not the case, so mostly these disturbances rippling through in the upper atmosphere will be able only to produce occasional mid- and high cloudiness.  There's quite a bit of inconsistency between the models by the end of the week, though, so we'll keep an eye on it day-by-day, as we always do anyway.

It's been cooler than normal downhill from us these past five days, thanks to the inversion I keep referencing, but temps here at our elevation have actually been on the plus side of normal for this stage of November.  But it does look like we could wind up on the cooler side of normal/average by either Friday or Saturday.

Keep on top of the latest forecast details on THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK tab above.