our 3 and a half day dry spell came to an end in fine fashion this afternoon, with exactly one inch (2.5cm) of rain falling between 330 and 530pm. the high temp at the top of mcleod ganj was 23c/73f, with clouds and fog for the vast majority of the day. the satellite pics this evening show isolated thundershowers over himachal pradesh, with more widespread rain and thunderstorm action to our southeast across uttar anchal and eastern uttar pradesh. moderate rain continues as of 7pm... so look for an updated rainfall total here later this evening.
*today's official rainfall total as of 9pm is 1.25" (3.2 cm).
conditions for more consistent rainfall will continue to improve during the next 48 hours or so. deep tropical moisture is making a move, and temps in the upper atmosphere are cooling just enough to create a good amount of instability. computer models are very aggressive with rainfall totals between sunday and wednesday... in some cases predicting 6 inches (15cm) as an average throughout the kangra district. computer guidance is often out-to-lunch, but it is at least an indication that heavy rainfall potential is returning in full force during the next several days. temperatures will continue to cool down gradually, day by day, in response to the increasing rain chances. all in all... expect the monsoon to return to form, and all that entails...
FRIDAY NIGHT: cloudy and foggy with a few showers before midnight. becoming partly cloudy late.
low: 19C (67F)
SATURDAY: partly cloudy in the morning... mostly cloudy and foggy by noon. good chance of a period or two of thundershowers.
high: 23C (73F)
SUNDAY: still a bit of morning sun possible, but clouds and fog will be on the increase again by noon, with a good chance of thundershowers developing.
high: 22C (72F)
MONDAY: cloudy, foggy and cool with periods of rain likely.
high: 21C (69F)
TUESDAY: more rain likely, with mostly cloudy skies and periods of fog.
high: 20C (68F)
WEDNESDAY: still a good chance of rain, along with clouds, fog, and cool temps.
high: 20C (68F)
