Thursday, April 28, 2016

the gorgeousness... (pm.28.apr.16)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 64.2F (17.9C)
High temp: 81.6F (27.6C)
Rainfall: none

Gorgeous and spectacular -- there's not really any other way to describe our weather this evening.  The sky is about 99% clear, with just a few dissipating cumulus clouds over the mountains at the moment... humidity remains very low... and temperatures are comfortably warm.  Sunshine won the day easily, with only some very lackluster mountain cloud development between late morning and late afternoon.

There is some isolated/scattered thundershower action over southwest J&K into extreme northern Himachal Pradesh early this evening, but considering the very low moisture content of this air mass, I'd say nobody is getting any significant precipitation out of the deal.  That thunder development is due to a lingering weak circulation in the upper-levels of the atmosphere that is accompanied by a pocket of colder air.  Warmer air is already gradually flowing in aloft, however, and that's going to cause the trend toward stabilization to continue into and through the weekend.  We'll have to be on the lookout for a period of cloudiness at some point -- along with the nearly ever-present slight risk of a PM shower/thundershower -- but I think we're going to see a good amount of sun the next few days, as temperatures climb to their highest levels of this new summer season.  The warmest I've recorded so far was 83.6ºF/28.7ºC back on the 16th of this month, and I think we should surpass that easily by Saturday or Sunday afternoon.

The models are showing a messier pattern shaping up next week, as a significant increase in moisture flows in from the Arabian Sea.  At the same time, we'll see the next series of upper-level disturbances drop in from the northwest.  That could spell some bouts of more substantial shower and thunderstorm activity by Tuesday night into Wednesday.

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