Sunday, October 18, 2015

things to deal with... (pm.18.oct.15)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 58.6F (14.8C)
High temp: 69.6F (20.9C)
Rainfall: none

There's a lot of lingering cloudiness around the area just after sunset tonight, with some patchy fog as well.  Last I checked, the crescent moon was visible in the southwestern sky in the midst of it all.  Once again we had stunning sunshine to start the day, with the first traces of mountain cloud development showing up between 10:00 and 11:00am.  Those clouds took over proceedings by the mid-afternoon, and there hasn't been a lot of sun since then.  Today's high temp at my location in the upper part of town was the warmest in exactly one week.

We're standing right on the brink of some changes this evening, as our anticipated upper-level circulation/disturbance moves across Turkmenistan -- on its way into Afghanistan by mid-day tomorrow (Mon).  This system does not have a tremendous amount of moisture to work with, but the mid- and upper-level dynamics are quite impressive.  That's why the computer models are trending toward at least a round or two of significant shower and thunderstorm development in our area between later tonight and perhaps mid-day Tuesday.  The latest data would point to Monday afternoon through early Tuesday morning as the best time frame for that rainfall to occur.  If and when we do get a hefty thunderstorm, our temps will likely plummet to their lowest of the autumn season so far.

A stabilizing atmosphere is expected by Tuesday night, with the next stretch of calm and quiet weather expected to last through Friday.  But then, there will be another series of upper-level disturbances dropping in from the northwest to bring increasing chances of rain showers by late Saturday into Sunday.  And beyond.

Don't forget to check out THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK, which is updated and available on a tab at the top of the home page.