We have both sunshine and some high cloudiness across the area on this Sunday morning -- and no wind at the moment. I've recorded an overnight low temp of 40.8F (4.9C), humidity is between 40-45%, and there has obviously been no rain/snow since last report.
All of these weak upper-level disturbances gliding across north India the past week have kept us on a mini-rollercoaster ride with temperatures, stirred up occasional gusty winds, and allowed alternating sun and patchy clouds. It's been dry, though... the last measurable precipitation was exactly a week ago, in the form or rain, sleet and snow showers. It should remain relatively quiet today (and dry), but changes will begin to occur tomorrow in advance of a stronger storm system which will be creeping toward us.
The upper-level circulation center is still located in Afghanistan, but will have moved to northern Pakistan by Tuesday afternoon. There are no major changes to how the computer models are projecting this system to behave -- meaning it is still expected to weaken considerably and then die out altogether as it pushes into Kashmir Tuesday night and early Wednesday. Moisture being drawn northward as it approaches will probably be sufficient for the development of rain showers and mountain snows starting as early as Monday night, then diminishing on New Year's Day. At the moment, precipitation amounts look like they will be rather light in our area (around 0.5"/1.2cm) -- but that's about the same as what the data was showing for last weekend's storm, and we got much more than that. I'll be updating regularly as new data becomes available, so check back here if you're interested in following along...
CURRENT FORECAST details can be found on the tab above.
