Sunday, December 29, 2013

changes on the way... (pm.29.dec.13)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 40.6F (4.8C)
High temp: 50.4F (10.2C)
Precipitation: none

A spectacular sunset is fading just now, after a day of variable amounts of sunshine and clouds.  It was partly cloudy early, mostly sunny during the mid-day, and then mostly cloudy from mid-afternoon into the evening.  Temperatures today were pretty much dead-on normal for this time of year, and with generally light winds, it was relatively comfortable -- especially in the direct sunlight.

Well, we are now on the brink of some changes which have been talked about over and over again on this blog the last several days.  A very tightly wound upper-level circulation is still spinning around over the middle of Afghanistan (as it has been doing for 36 hours now), and will begin to shift eastward tomorrow into Tuesday and early Wednesday.  This system is still projected to lose most of its dynamic energy as it finally pushes into Kashmir on the dawn of the new year, but the big question mark revolves around the amount of moisture it is able to tap into and force up against the mountains before it fizzles out completely. 

Computer models are showing a burst of heavy precipitation to our northwest, over mainly southwest portions of Jammu & Kashmir, with lighter amounts across much of Himachal Pradesh between late tomorrow (Mon) night and early Wednesday (New Year's) morning.  As precipitation develops, temperatures will cool in response, and that is going to put us precariously close to the rain/snow line here in McLeod -- especially on Tuesday (New Year's Eve).  All the meteorological computer guidance technology can be notoriously inept when it comes to conditions here along the front slopes of the Himalayan ranges, so we'll have to wait until development of precipitation starts to happen before we have a better idea of where that rain/snow line might set up.

Anyway... it looks like we're in for a rather interesting transition from 2013 into 2014 around here.!

CURRENT FORECAST details can be found on the tab above.