Friday, July 19, 2013

weekend issues... (pm.19.jul.13)>

Friday's stats:

Low temp: 66.6F (19.2C)
High temp: 72.9F (22.7C)
Rainfall: 0.35" (9mm)

There have been more showers roaming the area this evening, but we had a period of sunshine during the mid-afternoon that provided a short break from all the clouds and fog.  Rainfall at my location on Tushita Road below the Mountaineering Center has been relatively light again, for a third straight day, despite the heavier amounts that have occurred at some locations mainly downhill from McLeod.

We're still in a hit-and-miss rain shower pattern, with no development of widespread steadier/heavier rains as of this evening across Himachal Pradesh.  But the weekend is arriving, and we're on the brink of the increasing chance of that happening, as we've been anticipating.  Honestly, this time of year, it's just a matter of time.

One set of computer model data is pointing to rainfall amounts in the 4-6" (10-15cm) range by Sunday afternoon, but other models aren't looking quite that wet.  But as I've mentioned several times, I'm highly skeptical of these computer models' ability to accurately predict precipitation amounts in the mountains -- especially during the monsoon season.  Anyway, we'll continue to brace ourselves for a round or two of potentially very heavy rains during the next 48 hours or so as this latest tropical surge moves through.

Check the CURRENT FORECAST along with the running total of MONSOON 2013 RAINFALL on the tabs at the top of the page...