Saturday, October 2, 2010

saturday evening (2oct)>

we have partly cloudy skies just after sunset this evening.  after another sunny morning, we had a bit of an active afternoon (at least compared with the past week+), as some thundershowers which developed over the dhauladars tried to drift down into mcleod ganj before dying.  rainfall was not measurable, but there were a few sprinkles and brief light showers... along with some rumbles of thunder.  today's high temp at the wxgeek office was 21.3C/70.3F.

i had really not expected these thundershowers until early next week, but apparently the atmosphere is now unstable enough to stir up a little action during the afternoon.  although nothing significant or long-lasting is expected, it looks like we will have to include the mention of random, brief thundershowers in the forecast for the next few afternoons.  the chances will be better the higher up the mountain you are.  we'll still have gorgeous mornings though, with pretty much unlimited sunshine until after 1100-1130am or so.  temperatures will show little change right through the middle of next week...

SATURDAY NIGHT: patches of clouds and fog will disappear before 8pm.  then clear skies overnight.
low: 14C (58F)

SUNDAY: lots of sun in the morning... becoming partly to mostly cloudy with a random, brief PM thundershower possible.
high: 22C (71F)

MONDAY: mostly sunny in the morning, with increasing afternoon clouds.  an isolated thundershower possible after 2pm.
high: 21C (70F)

TUESDAY: partly to mostly sunny skies with a slight chance of a PM thundershower.
high: 21C (69F)

WEDNESDAY: partly sunny.  still that risk of a brief PM thundershower.
high: 20C (68F)

THURSDAY: a mix of sun and clouds.
high: 20C (68F)

saturday morning (2oct)>

clear skies and 16C/60F before dawn.  it looks like another beautiful morning is shaping up, with the usual development of clouds expected by the early afternoon.  the pattern will remain virtually unchanged right through the middle of next week... but a bit of cooling aloft may bring enough instability for one or two afternoon thundershowers over the mountains, especially on monday and tuesday.  nothing to get concerned about at this point... still generally great weather for outdoor activities.

SATURDAY: sunny skies this morning.  becoming partly to mostly cloudy this afternoon.  mild temps.
high: 22C (71F)

SATURDAY NIGHT: any clouds/fog will clear out quickly after sunset.
low: 14C (58F)

SUNDAY: sunny in the morning, partly sunny in the afternoon.
high: 22C (71F)

MONDAY: mostly sunny AM.  partly cloudy PM with a slight chance of a thundershower.
high: 21C (70F)

TUESDAY: partly sunny skies... with just a small chance of a random PM thundershower.
high: 21C (69F)

WEDNESDAY: partly sunny with a risk of a PM thundershower.
high: 20C (68F)

Friday, October 1, 2010

friday evening (1oct)>

october has begun pretty much the same as september ended...  we have clouds and fog just before sunset this evening... after sunshine this morning, and a mix of clouds and sun during most of the afternoon.  today's high temp was a comfortable 21.4C/71.5F.

it really is amazing how beautiful our mornings have been during the past 5-6 days... but equally amazing that so much cloudiness is still developing in the afternoons and evenings.  i really don't see anything to jolt us out of this pattern.  the overall weather scenario will change little during the next several days.  the one notable change is that a series of weak upper-level disturbances will drift through... bringing in some slightly cooler temperatures in the upper atmosphere.  that will increase the instability and spell a little better chance of some afternoon thundershowers over the mountains of himachal pradesh.  those thundershowers will be very few and far between... but as we head into early next week, there is at least a mentionable chance of encountering one or two.  temperatures will be cooling down bit by bit, with the longer nights and shorter days of autumn...

FRIDAY NIGHT: clouds and fog this evening... then becoming mostly clear after sunset.
low: 14C (58F)

SATURDAY: lots of morning sun, followed by partly to mostly cloudy skies during the afternoon.
high: 22C (71F)

SUNDAY: mostly sunny in the morning... mostly cloudy in the afternoon with a slight chance of a brief thundershower.
high: 21C (70F)

MONDAY: partly sunny skies, with a slight chance of a PM thundershower.
high: 21C (70F)

TUESDAY: partly sunny.  an afternoon thundershower is possible.
high: 21C (69F)

WEDNESDAY: a mix of sun and clouds, with still a risk of a PM thundershower.
high: 20C (68F)

friday morning (1oct)>

we have clear skies and 15C/59F early this morning.  satellite pics show very little happening across pakistan, northern india and nepal.

expect our daily dose of morning sunshine to continue right through the forecast period.  we'll still get a build-up of clouds during the afternoon hours, but as threatening as they may look at times, no significant rainfall is expected.  there was some thunder over the mountains yesterday afternoon... but frankly that could occur on just about any day during this time of year.  i am a little concerned about a series of weak upper-level disturbances that will wobble through northern india during the first part of next week.  although instability and moisture are minimal, there is a chance we could see a couple of rounds of random thundershowers.  any rainfall that does occur should be quite light, though.  extended guidance from the computer models is showing pretty stable temperatures into the middle of next week...

FRIDAY: sunshine this morning.  partly to mostly cloudy skies during the afternoon.
high: 21C (70F)

FRIDAY NIGHT: evening clouds... then clearing shortly after sunset.
low: 14C (58F)

SATURDAY: lots of morning sun, but becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the PM.
high: 22C (71F)

SUNDAY: partly sunny skies, with a chance of a brief PM thundershower.
high: 22C (71F)

MONDAY: partly to mostly sunny with a slight chance of a PM thundershower.
high: 21C (70F)

TUESDAY: partly sunny skies.  a thundershower is possible, mainly during the afternoon.
high: 21C (69F)