Sunday, January 21, 2018

shifting pattern this week... (pm.21.jan.18)>

An unusually potent upper-level high pressure ridge has provided us with a very stable atmosphere and unseasonably mild temperatures the last few days -- along with instigating a strong inversion which is trapping a shallow layer of colder air and smog in the lower elevations to our south on the plains of north India.  Temperatures today cooled off just a bit, but yesterday and last night, temps were shockingly high for the dead-center of our winter season.

There is a pattern change on the way, however, in the form of a rather strong upper-level low pressure center now rolling into Afghanistan.  This system will cause the high pressure ridge in place to collapse dramatically between Monday and early Wednesday -- allowing more seasonably cold air to spill into Himalayan north India.  Unfortunately there still doesn't appear to be much of a moisture-tap available for this system, so only random and/or widely scattered light precipitation is expected -- between late Tuesday and about noon on Wednesday.  I would love to report a change to that outlook, and will do so if rain/snow chances in our area start to look better.