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Saturday, April 29, 2017

on the lookout... (pm.29.apr.17)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 64.6F (18.1C)
High temp: 78.6F (25.9C)
Rainfall: trace

We had some scattered and very feeble thundershowers around the area early this morning, but all of that activity was over well before mid-morning, leaving us with a mix of sunshine and clouds for the rest of the day.  Things are looking very nice at the moment, just before sunset, with only a few clouds around, and a very comfortable temp near 72ºF/22ºC.

Luck has been with us this afternoon and evening so far, as satellite pics show clusters of thunderstorms northwest, north, northeast, east, southeast and south of us.  It's quiet for now, but I don't think it will stay that way overnight.  A fast-moving upper-level disturbance will move across northern Pakistan and into Kashmir during the next 24 hours, and all of the available computer model output is showing a very good chance of some significant pulses of showers and thunderstorms across our area during that timeframe.  The models have actually been way over-doing precipitation amounts during the last week or so, so they could be hyping things again for tonight into Sunday -- but just be aware that we could get hit with some fairly rowdy thunderstorms with gusty winds between tonight and Sunday evening.

The pattern next week continues to look 'marginally unstable'... just as it has been during the last eight days or so.  That means we will continue to see fluctuations between sunshine and periods of clouds, along with occasional chances of some isolated to scattered thundershower action.  No major, lasting temperature changes are expected until next weekend, when we could see a rather dramatic warming trend kick in.