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Saturday, October 4, 2014

trying to be positive... (pm.04.oct.14)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 61.9F (16.6C)
High temp: 68.3F (20.2C)
Rainfall: trace

It's hazy, but there are very few clouds around the area after dark this evening.  We had a lot of variability between sun, clouds, and fog today -- with just a few sprinkles of rain for a short time during the early afternoon.  Although it's still much too gloomy for early October, it seems there have been some incremental improvements lately.

Totally removing rain showers from the forecast is a scary thing, because it seems that as soon as it seems safe to do that, it rains.  That's due to all this lingering moisture which continues to snuggle up against the mountains getting lifted and condensed by the late morning hours.  Although we can't totally rule out a couple of isolated showers, all the computer model data is pointing to a gradual drying trend during the next couple of days.

However, some cooling in the upper atmosphere is scheduled to start arriving by late Tuesday, continuing through Wednesday.  That could trigger yet another round of scattered showers and/or thundershowers during the mid-week period.  The good news is that the extended range data is consistently showing a remarkably impressive push of drier air spreading across most of northwest India by Thursday and Friday.  We'll be keeping a close eye on how that evolves...