Thursday, August 14, 2014

pregnant with potential... (pm.14.aug.14)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 64.9F (18.3C)
High temp: 70.0F (21.1C)
Rainfall: 0.29" (7mm) -- updated @ 9:45pm

Light rain is in progress at this hour of the evening, and we're socked in with clouds and fog.  There have been numerous periods of drizzle, sprinkles and light rain showers today... especially since right around noon... but the actual accumulation in my rain gauge in the upper part of town has been very paltry (as of the late afternoon).  The sunshine did try to break through during the late morning, but cloudiness and occasional thick fog have been in control for the most part.

It has looked and felt much more like the middle of monsoon season the last couple of days, mainly due to the predominance of grey clouds and fog.  BUT -- at least here in the immediate McLeod area, we've yet to see anything more than light amounts of rain.  Last week there was more sunshine, but also heavier dumpings of rain during the afternoon and overnight hours.  The last several days we've failed to come up with anything much more than a half inch during a 24-hour period.

Every single one of the computer model solutions is showing the development of very heavy rains (and possibly some thunderstorms) across our area between tonight and Saturday evening.  The computer model data has been pretty lousy during the past few weeks, quite honestly, but with copious amounts of tropical moisture in place, and some dynamic energy and cooler upper-level temperatures easing in from the northwest during the coming 48 hours, we could have an interesting situation shaping up.