Saturday, August 9, 2014

perhaps a slow-down... (pm.09.aug.14)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 63.5F (17.5C)
High temp: 71.8F (22.1C)
Rainfall: 0.19" (5mm)

There's a blanket of thick fog across the area at the moment, which has been with us most of the early evening.  We've had a few spells of sunshine today as well -- mainly early this morning and again during the mid- to late afternoon hours.  Rainfall today, at least up til now, has been very light -- there were some moderate rain showers between about 1:00 and 2:00pm, but they were brief.

There's plenty of moisture trapped in the lowest layers of the atmosphere, but some drier air has been trying to nudge its way in in the mid- and upper-levels since last evening.  This retreat of the deepest tropical moisture is expected to continue until about late Tuesday, when it will begin surging in from the south and southeast once again.  Computer models are still pretty much useless, with multiple solutions and very little agreement on when/where and how much precipitation will develop here along the leading edge of Himalayan chains.

It could be that we'll be able to enjoy two or three days of relatively lower daily rainfall totals -- with most of it confined to afternoon convection (thunder/downpours) breaking out over the mountains.  But I have to admit that my confidence is not really all that high.  This time of year it takes only the most subtle changes in wind patterns throughout the different layers of the atmosphere to cause heavy rain shower development which remains nearly stationary.  Anyway.... it would be really nice to get a break right about now.