Friday, November 11, 2011

disturbance moving through... (am.11.nov.11)>

it's cloudy at sunrise this morning, with the humidity at 44%.  my overnight low was 61.2F (16.2C), which is outrageously warm for the second week of november.  i'm not aware of any rainfall in the immediate mcleod ganj area overnight, but satellite pics seem to indicate there is a mix of rain and snow happening up at the higher elevations.

our disturbance in the upper atmosphere will be moving through today, causing temperatures aloft to cool significantly.  since very mild air remains in the lowest levels, instability will be on the increase.  a period of rain and/or thundershowers is not a sure thing, but keep in mind the potential to get hit by something anytime today, into early tonight.  one computer model is pegging 2.0cm/0.80" of rain for us... that could be way overblown, but at least alerts us to the possibility of a decent round of showers.  of course there will be new snow on the dhauladar passes and peaks, so don't be caught clueless up there.

a fairly quick turn to sunnier, brighter and gradually cooler weather is expected starting over the weekend... lasting well into next week.

FRIDAY: clouds and a few peeks of sun.  mild, with a chance of a period or two of showers and thundershowers.
high: 19C (66F)

FRIDAY NIGHT: a couple of showers and/or thundershowers in the area this evening, then becoming mostly clear by midnight.  cooler.
low: 13C (55F)

SATURDAY: sunny to partly cloudy and slightly cooler.
high: 18C (64F)

SUNDAY: sunshine and a few clouds.  temps back closer to normal for november.
morning low: 11C (52F)
daytime high: 17C (62F)

MONDAY: mostly sunny skies.
morning low: 11C (51F)
daytime high: 17C (62F)

TUESDAY: lots of sunshine.
morning low: 10C (50F)
daytime high: 17C (62F)