mild wx continues... (pm.04.mar.13)>

Monday's stats:

Early morning low temp: 54.3F (12.4C)
Afternoon high temp: 66.7F (19.3C)
Rainfall: none

There are a few clouds lingering along the mountains at sunset this evening, and it's quite hazy downhill to the south and southwest.  Today's sunshine was more limited than in recent days, with a good amount of high clouds this morning, and then a significant build-up of mountain cloudiness during the afternoon.  Still, temperatures remain near the warmest of this young spring season.

A rather disorganized upper-level disturbance is currently moving across the western Himalayan region, creating a small amount of instability, but only one or two isolated showers along some of the higher mountain ranges.  This weak system will move off to the east tomorrow, but a slightly more moist atmosphere along with marginally cooler air aloft could stir up a random shower or two... again, mainly in the mountains.  By Wednesday, high pressure will again be building across northern India, leading to stable conditions and temperatures which will continue to run a bit above normal for the first part of March.  It's still possible that we could nudge 70F (21.1C) by the end of this week, for the first time this season.

Computer models are showing a moderate intensity storm system moving into our neighborhood by the latter part of the weekend.  Right now it doesn't look like much to get excited about, but we could see a better chance of a few showers and thundershowers by Saturday night into Sunday.

A reminder -- the CURRENT FORECAST is now available on the tab above.

a minor disturbance... (am.04.mar.13)>

A batch of high clouds is moving across the area early this morning, which should limit our sunshine for at least part of the day.  My overnight low temp has been 54.3F (12.4C), with early AM humidity at 40%.

The weak upper-level disturbance we've been watching the last couple of days is arriving now.  It's going to be pretty much a non-event -- apart from occasional high cloudiness which may hold temps just slightly below yesterday's.  There's also a very slight chance of a random light shower somewhere in the area today or tonight, but if it happens, it will barely wet the rain gauge.  By tomorrow (Tues), this weak system will be moving east of us and a strong ridge of high pressure will build back across northern India for the remainder of the week.

Normal high temps for this week are around 64-65F (18C), but we should remain a bit warmer than that... and perhaps significantly warmer than that by Friday, when we could have a shot at our first 70F of the new year.

Updated 5-day outlook available on the CURRENT FORECAST tab above.

close to perfect... (pm.03.mar.13)>

Sunday's stats:

Early morning low temp: 54.1F (12.3C)
Afternoon high temp: 67.5F (19.7C)
Rainfall: none

Everyday recently we've been reaching temperature milestones.  Today's high temp was the warmest I've recorded since way back on the 19th of October, and is about 2C/4F above normal for early March.  There were a few clouds over the mountains this afternoon along with some very thin wisps of high clouds moving in from the west, otherwise the sun has been the main player.

The weather in March is notorious for being able to go either way -- extremely nice or extremely ugly -- but we've definitely been seeing the finer side since the month began.  The big high pressure ridge responsible for our recent sunny and comfortable conditions will take a minor hit tomorrow (Mon) and Tuesday, thanks to a weak upper-level disturbance which will move across northern India.  It still appears that an increase in clouds is all we'll get out of this system, but our warming trend should come to a halt until it passes.  There's also an outside shot at a brief light shower somewhere around the area, but measurable rainfall is unlikely.

That ridge of high pressure will bounce back and strengthen again during the latter half of the week, allowing us to warm up another degree or two.  Then, by late Saturday, we may be dealing with a stronger weather system capable of ending our streak of warmer-than-normal temps, while giving us a better chance of some thundershower action into early the following week.

The latest 5-day outlook always available on the CURRENT FORECAST tab above.

super sunday... (am.03.mar.13)>

We have full sunshine again this morning, and humidity is a low 34%.  I recorded a very mild overnight low temp of 54.1F (12.3C).

Not much news to report -- a high pressure ridge continues to dominate the weather pattern over a wide area from the Arabian Sea across virtually all of central and northern India.  This is bringing the first real warm spell of the new spring season not only to us, but to the entire western and central Himalayan region as well as the Plains of north India.  Temperatures will continue to surpass previous highs of 2013 thus far -- rising well above normal for the first week of March.

There is a broad band of high clouds off to our west in association with a weak upper-level disturbance which will track across our area from Monday into Tuesday.  With very limited moisture and weak dynamic energy, an increase in clouds is all that is expected, it seems.  There is one computer model trying to squeeze out some light precipitation late Monday into early Tuesday, but I'm going to hold off putting any showers in the forecast at this point.  By Wednesday, strong springtime high pressure should build back in -- even more robustly -- into at least the early part of next weekend.

You can always check the latest updated 5-day forecast on the CURRENT FORECAST tab at the top of the page.