Thursday, January 31, 2019

winter holds as feb arrives... (pm.31.jan.19)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 33.8ºF (1.0ºC) -- at 9:00pm
High temp: 47.1ºF (8.4ºC)
Precipitation: 1.33" (3.4cm) -- total thru mdnt
*Snowfall: around 1.5" (4cm) -- between 830p and mdnt*

Snow has been mixing in with the rain and the temp has dropped significantly at my location in the upper part of town during the last half hour or so, and you can see from the stats above that we've had a very cold and wet day.  I don't think there has been any sunshine at all during the last two days, as this storm system has been bearing down on us.

The upper-level low pressure center driving this latest round of wet and wintry weather is now located in northern Pakistan, and contrary to computer model prognostications, continues to strengthen.  As it does so, temperatures continue to fall in the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere, and that is making it a bit more possible/likely that the snow line could come further downhill overnight into early Friday morning.  As is usually the case in the middle of winter, we here in McLeod Ganj find ourselves very close to that demarcation between liquid and frozen precipitation.

This system should weaken and most of the moisture move east of us as our Friday progresses, which means that rain/snow chances will diminish by late afternoon or evening.  That will set us up for improving conditions over the weekend, with some milder temperatures moving in for the very early part of next week.

But, I have to report that all the models are still suggesting the potential for a major winter storm system with the coldest air of this winter season during the middle of next week (Tibetan Losar).  The arrival of February will not be ushering in anything milder, drier or more pleasant than what we've experienced for most of January.  Check THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK tab above for forecast specs.