Thursday, June 5, 2014

from warm to hot... (am.05.jun.14)>

Every time I post something here lately I'm talking about "the new warmest..." -- and that's again the case this morning.  The overnight low at my location in the upper part of town has been 70.2F (21.2C), which is indeed the warmest minimum temperature for a 24 hour period this year.  There's been no rainfall to report, and we have 100% clear skies again early this morning.  Humidity stands at 35%.

There continue to be just two main issues to be concerned about in terms of our overall weather scenario during the coming several days.  The first issue is our temperatures, which will climb even higher today, and probably into Friday as well.  We could be getting precariously close to 90F/32C for the first time this year -- and according to my records over the years, that usually only happens a few times each summer season, if at all.  It will be interesting to see if the temp does make it that high.  Remember, my observations are taken in the upper part of town, which means it's even warmer (by a couple of degrees F) in the main market.

The second issue is the risk of an isolated afternoon thundershower episode, developing in the mountains.  This pattern is a very quiet one, but there is a subtle balance of temperature, humidity, and wind direction that must occur throughout the different layers of the atmosphere to prevent some kind of convective development over the Dhauladhars.  On any given day we could see that balance upset -- so just keep an eye to the sky by the mid-day and early afternoon hours, to see if the cumulus cloud development up there looks like it might be getting out of hand!

CURRENT FORECAST details can be found on the tab above.