Thursday, February 23, 2012

shower risk remains... (am.23.feb.12)>

the temp is 48.6F (9.2C) at sunrise this morning... with mostly cloudy skies and patches of fog around the area.  other than a sprinkle or two, there has been no measurable rainfall since our thundershower last evening.

a nearly stationary upper-level disturbance sits along the pakistan-kashmir border, and will gradually give up its energy and die away during the next couple of days.  this feature has been the main influence on our weather since sunday, and although we haven't had widespread, persistent rainfall since monday night, it has been responsible for generating the scattered showers and thundershowers since tuesday evening.  as long as this circulation remains anchored just to our west, our airmass is going to remain rather unstable, so just be aware of the potential for another round or two of passing showers/thunder both today and friday.  hopefully we'll see some periods of sunshine again in the midst of it all.

a large-scale pattern change is being advertised by computer models over the weekend into early next week.  for the first time in a LONG time, there doesn't appear to be another storm system waiting in the wings... and that should allow us to enjoy some dry and quiet weather, along with a modest warming trend...

THURSDAY: some fog this morning, then a mix of clouds and sunshine.  good chance of another round of showers (with thunder?).
high: 13C (56F)

THURSDAY NIGHT: could be a thundershower or two in the area during the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
low: 9C (48F)

FRIDAY: partly cloudy... with a couple of showers still possible, mainly in the PM.
high: 13C (56F)

SATURDAY: a mix of clouds and sun.  still that pesky shower risk in the afternoon.
morning low: 8C (47F)
daytime high: 14C (57F)

SUNDAY: partly to mostly sunny and nice.
morning low: 9C (48F)
daytime high: 14C (58F)

MONDAY: sunshine and a few clouds
morning low: 9C (49F)
daytime high: 15C (59F)