the latest...

Check archived posts (right column) and stats (above) for general information.

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

spring preview ending... (am.24.feb.15)>

A fairly uniform shield of high clouds covers the sky just before sunrise this morning... but temperatures remain unseasonably mild.  My low temperature here in the upper part of town has been 58.5F (14.7C) -- more typical of late March!  There has been no rainfall overnight.

A massive shield of high clouds extends from the northern Arabian Sea northward into Kashmir this morning, while an upper-level circulation spins over the middle of Afghanistan.  This is our next weather system -- and one that is going to bring some very daramatic changes over the course of the coming 24-36 hours or so.  There has been consistency for several days that our rain chances will begin to increase towards this evening, with occasional rain, thunderstorms and perhaps some strong and gusty winds becoming likely overnight and throughout the day on Wednesday.  This system is pulling in a moderate amount of moisture, but what is more impressive is the upper-level dynamic energy and much colder air it's going to drag across northern India by Thursday.

Right now it looks like the snow line is going to drop much further down the mountain than we've seen since the system back during the first few days of this month.  We can't rule out some sleet/snow even flirting with McLeod Ganj tomorrow night into Thursday.

Precipitation should become more scattered by late Thursday, but there is still the potential for some showers off and on through Friday and Saturday, before more significant rain chances increase again on Sunday.  We'll have to get used to some colder temperatures again... after the last several days of unseasonable warmth.

THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK can be found on the tab at the top of the page.