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Monday, February 16, 2015

first rain in 11 days... (am.16.feb.15)>

It is mostly cloudy early this morning, and a period of about two hours of light rain showers has recently come to an end -- I've got 0.10" (3mm) in the rain gauge to show for it.  The low temp here at my location on Tushita Road just below the mountaineering center has been 46.9F (8.3C), but currently it's back up to about 49F (9.4C).

Our eleven days in a row without any precipitation has indeed come to an end, and we're now on the brink of what looks to be an extended period of unsettled/unstable weather which is going to last all week -- and perhaps into at least the early part of next week as well.  It's not going to rain continuously, of course, but upper-air charts are showing and projecting a long series of upper-level disturbances moving across northern India.  There's a considerable amount of moisture lurking just to our south and west, so each of these disturbances should be able to make use of that... providing us with several periods of wet weather during the coming week to ten days.

I think we'll also manage to squeeze out a few periods of at least partly sunny skies in the midst of this wetter stretch, but there probably won't be too many hours between spells of thicker cloudiness and rain showers.  Some thunder will be possible as well.  At the moment it looks like the snow line will remain well up-mountain from us -- but it IS still February, so we can't be too certain of that.

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