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Sunday, February 15, 2015

a return to action... (pm.15.feb.15)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 48.7F (9.3C)
High temp: 58.8F (14.9C)
Precipitation: none

It's extremely hazy across the area this evening, otherwise we have partly cloudy skies.  We were able to enjoy more of our recent glorious mid-February sunshine until the early afternoon, but then there was a fairly impressive increase in cloudiness which stunted our warm-up a bit.  Still... at my location in the upper part of McLeod, I recorded the second-warmest temp of 2015; yesterday being the warmest.

We've now had 11 days in a row of dry weather... along with temperatures which have been gradually moderating to levels that are a degree or two above normal for this time of year.  It's been a nice and quiet and generally pleasant stretch of weather -- but it's just about to come to an end.

The upper-level weather pattern is now aligning itself to produce a long-term period of more active weather for us here in Himalayan north India -- which could last more than a week.  There will be a series of at least three significant disturbances tracking though between tomorrow (Mon) and next Sunday, and that's going to increase our rain chances rather dramatically.  There could be some light showers developing toward tomorrow morning, but right now it seems that the best rain potential may hold off until late Tuesday through Wednesday, and then again between Thursday afternoon and early Saturday.  There's still a perplexing amount of variability between the computer model solutions, though -- an indication that there are a lot of question marks remaining as to what each of those individual disturbances is going to do.

My best interpretation of events can be found on THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK tab at the top of the page...