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Wednesday, April 20, 2016

temporarily quiet... (pm.20.apr.16)>

Wednesday's stats:

Low temp: 59.5F (15.3C)
High temp: 79.8F (26.6C)
Rainfall: none

It's rare that we have totally clear skies during this hour before sunset, but that is what's happening this evening.  We've had a really nice and pleasant day, in fact, with the sun winning out over some scattered clouds this morning and then a build-up of cumulus over the Dhauladhars this afternoon.  Satellite pics have shown some isolated, weak thundershower development from western Kashmir across Himachal into Uttarakhand, but none of that threatened us at all.  Of course we did get that round of thundershowers last night between about 9:45 and 11:00pm, but that's ancient history by now.

We're enjoying a respite between upper-level disturbances in this latest series, with this spell of quiet weather expected to last through most of tomorrow (Thu), if we're lucky.  It was back up close to 80ºF (27ºC) today, and we'll probably be in that neighborhood tomorrow as well.  But then we've got to watch yet another disturbance as it sets its sights on us for late Thursday night through Friday night.  Models are showing this one packing quiet a punch, with a very impressive batch of colder air in the upper-atmosphere accompanying it.  This should set us up for a very unstable situation starting Thursday night, which means some strong thunderstorms, very gusty winds, hail and a sharp drop in temps will be fairly likely.

A couple of thundershowers will linger on Saturday, but a return to a more stable scenario comes into play on Sunday.  Although we could be dealing with typical afternoon instability, most of next week is looking rather peaceful, as temperatures rebound quickly into the normal range for the end of April.

If you're interested in more details, like monthly averages, April's daily stats, and the forecast specifics, take a look at tabs across the top of the page...