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Thursday, May 12, 2016

continuing threats... (pm.12.may.16)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 61.3F (16.3C) -- updated at 8:30pm
High temp: 75.9F (24.4C)
Rainfall: 0.11" (3mm) -- updated at 8:30pm

We find ourselves this evening right on the southwest fringes of a large area of thunderstorms which extend from southwestern Jammu & Kashmir into northcentral Himachal Pradesh.  It's an interesting view to the north and northeast at the moment.  Otherwise we've come up with a fairly nice day, with plenty of sunshine gracing our skies until the late morning.  Then, there was a rapid and impressive explosion of cloudiness along the mountains, but as far as I'm aware, there has been no rain in our immediate area (yet).  I did hear thunder up-mountain from us between about 1:45 and 3:15pm, though, and am just now hearing it again.  Temperatures today were significantly warmer than they were yesterday, but still a few degrees cooler than normal for the season.

That thunderstorm activity to our north-northeast this evening is tangible evidence of the remaining instability and volatility of our weather pattern.  We're still perched on the edge of a large batch of unseasonably moist air, and there are still numerous weak disturbances sliding in from the west-northwest along the upper-level flow.  That means a period of showers and thunderstorms could develop/occur/move in almost any time of the day or night -- with the best chances remaining during the mid-afternoon into the overnight hours.  The whole scenario could be quite changeable with some dramatic swings back and forth between inclement and calm conditions... so just be prepared.

Along with that risk of showers/thunder, there are more signs of a warming trend through the weekend, and then finally, a return to a somewhat less humid air mass by the middle of next week.

If you haven't done so already, check tabs above for plenty of other information, and peruse the archives on the right-hand column for daily posts going all the way back to 2010...