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Friday, March 25, 2016

shower risk returns... (pm.25.mar.16)>

Friday's stats:

Low temp: 63.0F (17.2C)
High temp: 70.5F (21.4C)
Rainfall: none

For the third day in a row we've had to contend with a lot of mainly mid- and high level clouds posing a serious challenge to the sun.  There were a few nice periods of at least dim sunshine today, and with the very mild air mass in place across northern India, that was enough to finally kick my high temp in the upper part of town above 70ºF for the first time this season.  Overnight lows the last couple of nights have been very mild as well, so we are definitely getting a good taste of springtime.

An upper-level disturbance/circulation center is rolling across Afghanistan this evening, and will be moving across Jammu & Kashmir by mid-day Easter Sunday.  This system has been looking less and less impressive with each and every run of the computer model data the last couple of days -- but it should still be capable of stirring up some scattered shower and thunderstorm action across Himalayan north India between tomorrow (Sat) and late Sunday night.  I'll be surprised if we get nothing out of the deal, but I'll also be surprised if we get more than just a couple of periods of rain before all is said and done.

A weak high pressure ridge will build in for much of next week, but it may not be enough to keep us totally and completely stable.  Temperatures are looking comfortably pleasant during at least the next week to ten days or so, but we can't rule out an isolated shower or thundershower at some point, in the midst of variable clouds and sun.

Take a look at THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK (above) for forecast details.