the latest...

Check archived posts (right column) and stats (above) for general information.

Sunday, January 3, 2016

a more active future... (pm.03.jan.16)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 46.6F (8.1C)
High temp: 56.9F (13.8C)
Precipitation: none

There are only a few wisps of high, thin cirrus clouds out there this evening, but for the most part we have a clear sky.  Today was again a mostly sunny one, apart from those occasional patches of thin cirrus -- and it was another mild one, as temps remained significantly above normal for early January.  AND, it's now been three full weeks without so much as a trace of any kind of precipitation.

A disturbance is on approach, however, which is going to increase the potential for some rain and snow showers across Jammu & Kashmir and at least the northeastern half of Himachal Pradesh during the coming 36 hours or so.  As I've been saying, we find ourselves on the very southwestern fringe of the probable area of precipitation development -- with better chances in ranges north and east of the Dhauladhars.  Still, lets watch and see if we might pick up a little something in the rain gauge between tomorrow (Mon) mid-day and early Tuesday morning.  It's looking like our temps will dip a few degrees as this disturbance moves through as well.

We should have a lull in the action during the mid-week period, but models are now struggling to resolve a complex upper-level pattern setting up as the weekend comes into view.  Today's data is looking much more aggressive with regard to precipitation development across a wider part of north-northwest India, and if temperature profiles turn out to be true, we could see a relatively low snow line as well.  Yes, it will be interesting to watch how the Friday/Saturday period evolves...

THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK contains forecast details -- on a tab at the top of the page.