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Wednesday, February 8, 2017

unstable in the near term... (pm.08.feb.17)>

Wednesday's stats:

Low temp: 46.6F (8.1C) -- updated @ 8:45pm
High temp: 54.3F (12.4C)
Precipitation: none

Another upper-level low pressure circulation and accompanying pool of cold air aloft is centered over east-central Afghanistan this evening... deepening as it shifts eastward.  If we had any decent moisture availability with this system, we'd be getting some significant shower and thunderstorm action breaking out right about now.  But that is not the case, so there's only a moderate chance of some fleeting mainly light showers in the forecast overnight into about mid-day Thursday.  There is a fresh shot of cooler air on the way, though, keeping our temps down a bit the next couple of days.

Over the weekend into the middle of next week there will be a building ridge of high pressure across the Indian subcontinent, and that will lead to a gradual warm-up.  Next Tuesday/Wednesday are still a long way off, but we could be looking at the warmest temps of this late winter season and 2017 by then.  Extended range models are not showing any really significant storm systems during the coming couple of weeks, but that data has been quite fickle the last few days, so it might not mean much.