Monday, September 8, 2014

not much happening... (am.08.sep.14)>

There's a lot of mid-level cloudiness around this morning at sunrise, and I'm surprised to see that we've also had a few light sprinkles of rain in the last hour or so.  I'm recording a low temp of 64.9F (18.3C) along with that trace of rainfall.  Humidity is currently 82%.

Although we've got no absolute and decisive clearing trend to look forward to, we should be seeing relatively quiet weather throughout this new week.  It takes a brisk west-northwesterly flow in the lower and mid-levels of the atmosphere to completely sweep any lingering moisture out of here -- but that's not going to be happening anytime in the near future.  That means we can expect alternating periods of sun and clouds, along with some patchy fog on occasion.  A few isolated/random rain showers (and possibly some PM thunder) can't be ruled out.

Monsoon season isn't officially over, but what remains of it should be very much on the weak side from this point onwards -- but of course we always have to be braced for sudden reversals and surprises during this transitional month of September!  Stay tuned.

Sunday, September 7, 2014

very little drama... (pm.07.sep.14)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 62.2F (16.8C)
High temp: 74.5F (23.6C)
Rainfall: trace

Patches of clouds and fog are drifting around at sunset this evening, with some thunderheads visible at times, especially off to our southeast.  Today has turned out pretty close to expectations, with a mixture of clouds, sun and fog, and temperatures moderating a few degrees above what we've been dealing with during most of the past week or so.  Up until now, we've managed to avoid any rain shower/thunder activity, though there have been a couple of random sprinkles this evening.

Cloud and fog development today has been confined mainly to the mountains -- with lots of sunshine throughout the day just downhill from us.  Most of the deep monsoon moisture has retreated to the southeast, but all of the computer model data which shows atmospheric moisture profiles indicates that it's going to remain a bit too close for comfort during the coming week.  That will keep us from being able to confidently say that we're "in the clear".  We should be able to enjoy a good amount of sunshine on a daily basis, but that cloud/fog development should occur daily as well -- with a mentionable risk of isolated to widely scattered shower/thunder development in the vicinity of the mountains during the afternoon/evening hours.

Overall, I have to say that things are looking rather pleasant for us as we approach the middle of the month.  What's left of Monsoon 2014 may not deliver much more drama, the way things are looking at the moment...

variable elements... (am.07.sep.14)>

It's partly cloudy early on this Sunday morning, with a humidity reading of 87%.  I'm recording an overnight low of 62.2F (16.8C), and the rain gauge is showing 0.07" (2mm) since I last checked it.  I think that's left over from the random light showers received last evening.  Check the UPDATED RAINFALL TALLY (above) if you're interested in detailed rainfall info for this monsoon season.

We've got a mixed bag of weather conditions in store during this new week.  On one hand, our atmosphere has stabilized considerably during the past 12-24 hours or so.  On the other hand, there is still plenty of lingering moisture in the air that can easily be condensed into significant cloudiness and fog by the mid-day and afternoon hours, here along our mountain slopes.  There is a also a good chance of some random and widely scattered shower/thunder development during the afternoon hours.  But all in all, things should balance out considerably more pleasant than what we dealt with for several days in a row during the past week.

Extended range computer models are looking remarkably tame and even dull as we look ahead through the middle one-third of September.  Right now it appears that we may revert to something similar to what we experienced during much of the latter half of August -- a mix of sun, clouds and fog, with some isolated mainly PM thundershower action.  Maybe we won't see another huge blast of monsoon nastiness this year??  No guarantees on that yet...

Saturday, September 6, 2014

spared the worst... (pm.06.sep.14)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 60.2F (15.7C)
High temp: 68.9F (20.5C)
Rainfall since midnight: 0.54" (1.4cm)

There is some sunshine visible down in the valley below, but it's cloudy and foggy here in McLeod this evening, with a few light showers roaming the area during the past hour and a half or so.  Unless something else gets going very soon, we can say that nearly all of our measurable rainfall today occurred between about midnight and 9am -- with the vast majority of that during a heavy downpour right around 3:30am.  The sun managed to make a decent appearance today, however, mainly during the mid-day period, but cloudiness and some fog thickened up again shortly after 3:00pm.

It's been a very soggy and damp several days (since Tuesday), with very little sunshine at all until earlier today.  This latest period of active monsoon conditions has brought devastating flooding to parts of Jammu & Kashmir, as well as some areas of extreme eastern Pakistan.  We got off fairly easily, with our rainfall remaining below the kind of rates that can overwhelm the run-off system and cause significant flooding, washed-out roads and landslides.  Still, I've measured between four and five inches (10-13cm) of rain since Monday, getting us off to a strong start for the month of September.

Although there isn't a super-dramatic withdrawal of monsoon moisture expected during the coming several days, there should be some noticeable improvements.  The deepest tropical moisture will retreat just enough to our southeast to allow us to see more sun, slightly lower humidity readings, and less hours of rain and drizzle during most of next week.  We'll still be subject to quite a lot of mainly PM cloud/fog development, along with the risk of an hour or two of showers/thunder, though.